Decode Lab
An archive for explorers, chronicling the discoveries and insights from our ongoing journey.
August 25, 2026
Is Bitcoin Really an Inflation Hedge? — Testing Inflation Expectations and 30-Day Returns
Bitcoin is often described as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. But does it actually perform better when market inflation expectations rise? We examine the relationship between the U…
September 2, 2026
Do Higher U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields Mean Lower S&P 500 Returns?
At the time of this analysis, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield had risen above 4.75%. But does a higher yield actually mean weaker short-term S&P 500 returns? We test this by separating the yield’s ab…
August 11, 2026
Does High CPI Really Weaken the S&P 500?
Higher inflation is often seen as a headwind for stocks. But does a high CPI reading actually mean weaker S&P 500 returns? This article tests that idea with data using FactDecode.
September 11, 2026
Does Gold Go Up With Inflation? Testing U.S. CPI Against Gold’s 5-Day Returns
Gold is widely considered an inflation hedge. But does higher inflation actually mean higher gold prices in the days that follow? We compare U.S. CPI year-over-year with XAU/USD’s 5-trading-day forwa…
July 28, 2026
What Does a Simultaneous Selloff Across All Assets Mean? The Market Forces Behind the “Great Capital Rotation”
“Buy the dip.” In recent markets, this has seemed like an almost infallible strategy. Whenever stocks or crypto assets experienced even a modest correction, the decline quickly became an ideal buying…