Decode Lab
An archive for explorers, chronicling the discoveries and insights from our ongoing journey.
September 2, 2026
Do Higher U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields Mean Lower S&P 500 Returns?
At the time of this analysis, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield had risen above 4.75%. But does a higher yield actually mean weaker short-term S&P 500 returns? We test this by separating the yield’s ab…
August 25, 2026
Is Bitcoin Really an Inflation Hedge? — Testing Inflation Expectations and 30-Day Returns
Bitcoin is often described as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. But does it actually perform better when market inflation expectations rise? We examine the relationship between the U…