Decode Lab
An archive for explorers, chronicling the discoveries and insights from our ongoing journey.
September 2, 2026
Do Higher U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields Mean Lower S&P 500 Returns?
At the time of this analysis, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield had risen above 4.75%. But does a higher yield actually mean weaker short-term S&P 500 returns? We test this by separating the yield’s ab…
August 17, 2026
How Do Rising Japanese Interest Rates Affect Stocks? — Testing EWJ with Data
Rising rates are often seen as a headwind for stocks. Our EWJ factor analysis suggests a more complicated relationship.
July 28, 2026
What Does a Simultaneous Selloff Across All Assets Mean? The Market Forces Behind the “Great Capital Rotation”
“Buy the dip.” In recent markets, this has seemed like an almost infallible strategy. Whenever stocks or crypto assets experienced even a modest correction, the decline quickly became an ideal buying…